Miguel Diaz-Canel, 62, was unsurprisingly re-elected on Wednesday April 19 as head of the communist island of Cuba for a second and final term. The unique candidacy of this trained electronics engineer won 97.66% of the votes of the 470 members of the National Assembly, in a country where opposition is illegal. A total of 459 deputies voted in favor of the 462 present in the hemicycle.

“Given the results announced, I declare Miguel Mario Diaz-Canel Bermudez President of the Republic,” said Esteban Lazo, President of the National Assembly in the presence of Raul Castro, 92. Dressed in his traditional olive green uniform, the latter congratulated the re-elected president by shaking both hands.

Miguel Diaz-Canel, who has also been the first secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba (CCP) since 2021, in his inaugural speech urged his cabinet to “solve the problems of inefficiency” in the country, in order to “increase the supply of goods and services and to control inflation”. He also castigated the “unacceptable bureaucracy, indifference and corruption” that is holding back the progress of the country caught in “deep difficulties”.

First civilian in power

During the parliamentary session, to which only the state press had access, the vice-president, Salvador Valdes Mesa, 77, was also reelected. Parliament also re-elected its president, Esteban Lazo, and its vice-president, Ana Maria Mari Machado.

Mr. Diaz-Canel was in 2018 the first civilian to take the reins of the country after the presidencies of the Fidel brothers (1926-2016) and Raul Castro, in power since the triumph of the Cuban revolution in 1959. He was charged to accelerate the slow economic reform initiated by his predecessor and political mentor Raul Castro (2008-2018).

But he has not been able to stem the crisis that Cuba has been going through since 2018. It is the worst in three decades, with shortages of food, medicine and fuel, due to the tightening of the American embargo in place since 1962, and the consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic.

In early 2021, he implemented a sweeping monetary reform ending the dollar-to-Cuban peso rate that had prevailed for decades, but it caused significant distortions in the national economy. It also encouraged self-employment and authorized SMEs, but these measures proved insufficient to improve the economic situation.

“He has not made a complete and comprehensive transition to a mixed economy,” said Cuban international relations expert Arturo Lopez-Levy, based in the United States. “Some [planned] economic changes did not happen, and others left a lot of skepticism about their implementation.”

Inflationary spiral

The monetary reform caused an inflationary spiral and a sharp devaluation of the peso, raising strong discontent among the population. The Cuban currency went in two years from 24 to 120 pesos for one dollar at the official rate, while on the black market it is quoted at 185 pesos for one dollar.

For opponent Manuel Cuesta, the “evidence” of his “re-election” comes “in the midst of a double economic crisis: that of the model and that of the state political powers responsible for finding appropriate solutions”.

One of Miguel Diaz-Canel’s “rare successes” was “the transition to a regime led by a new generation born after 1959, which does not bear the name of Castro,” said Jorge Duany of the International University of Florida. He recalls, however, that his “greatest failure was the mismanagement of the demonstrations” of July 2021, the largest on the island since 1959.

They left one dead and dozens injured. More than 1,300 people have also been arrested and nearly 500 sentenced to up to 25 years in prison, according to the Miami-based human rights organization Cubalex.

The crisis has led to the unprecedented exodus of more than 300,000 Cubans in 2022 alone.