Munich (dpa/lby) – Bavaria’s state coffers are likely to be filled to the brim for the last time this year: In its autumn calculation for tax revenue for 2022, the Bavarian state government is once again expecting a whopping increase of 1.3 billion euros compared to the last estimate in the spring.

After that, according to the forecast, things will go downhill significantly: For 2023, Finance Minister Albert Füracker (CSU) expects a minus of 600 million euros compared to the spring forecast. For 2024, the tax experts assume a minus of 200 million on the same basis.

For 2023, Füracker wants to get by in Bavaria without additional debt, despite the predicted loss of income. However, the Bavarian Minister of Finance admitted that the estimates – already for 2022 and even more so for the following years – are associated with considerable imponderables. “The goal is to comply with the debt brake,” said Füracker.

“We’re all waiting for what the federal government will decide on in terms of defense shields,” he said on Friday in Munich. The significant increase in prices hit people and companies – but also the state, for example in energy and management costs or construction measures.

Füracker considers the federal tax estimate, which envisages 126 billion euros more revenue for 2023 than in the spring forecast, to be “very, very optimistic”.