Munich (dpa/lby) – According to calculations by the Conference of Ministers of Education (KMK), a good 200,000 more students are expected to be taught at schools in Bavaria in the mid-2030s than today. This corresponds to an increase of almost 15 percent. The number of students in the Free State will increase from the current 1.6 million to over 1.8 million, according to the forecast presented on Friday.
Bavaria’s development is above the national average, for which the KMK forecasts growth of 10.2 percent. The projections are regularly updated and published by the KMK. They are the basis for calculations on the development of teacher requirements. Rising student numbers are repeatedly mentioned as one of the reasons for the teacher shortage. Compared to the last forecast, the expected increase in the number of students is slightly smaller.
The growth is justified with “recently steadily rising birth rates” and immigration. As the number of students increases, so does the number of school leavers and graduates, which in times of a shortage of young people in many sectors could bring some relief, at least in the long term. An increase in the number of school leavers and graduates from the current 121,000 to 140,000 is therefore expected. At vocational schools, the number of students should remain largely the same at around 121,000. The number of graduates with a technical college or university entrance qualification could rise from almost 57,000 to 60,000.
