The CIS of José Félix Tezanos grants the PSOE a new rise in voting intention while lowering the expectations of the PP.
The Socialists would achieve, if the elections were held today, 32.7% of the ballots, six tenths more than in the February barometer, while the popular ones would obtain 28%, almost two points less than a month ago
This electoral forecast reflects the sentiment of the voters at a political moment in which the controversy generated by the Mediator case and its derivatives within the Socialist Group in Congress coincided, which led to the expulsion of the party and the delivery of the minutes by of former deputy Juan Bernardo Fuentes Curbelo, known as Tito Berni, and the crisis within the Government itself with a harsh clash between the socialist party and the house on account of the rectification of the law of only yes is yes. Both events sparked an angry political and social debate that, judging by the results of the CIS poll, turned out to be advantageous for Pedro Sánchez’s party.
The barometer also indicates a collapse of the minor partner of the Government, United We Can, which today would achieve 10% of the votes, 2.7 points less than in February. In this case, the deterioration that Numantina’s resistance to modifying the Law on the Guarantee of Sexual Freedom has generated in his electoral prediction seems evident despite counting already more than 700 sentence reductions and dozens of releases of sexual offenders. Unidas Podemos would thus lose, although by only one tenth, the third position in the electoral ranking, seeing itself surpassed by Vox, a party to which the poll gives a forecast of 10.1% of the vote.
According to these results, the PSOE would already take an advantage over the PP of almost five points -4.7- doubling the difference that was noted with the Feijóo match in February. Thus, the PSOE-Unidas Podemos tandem would agglutinate 42.7% of the votes while the two forces on the right, PP and Vox, would only add 38.1%.
They also register ERC and Ciudadanos increases. The Catalan republicans jump from the 2% that they were granted in the barometer a month ago to 2.5%, thus widely surpassing JxCat, which remains anchored at 1.1% of the vote.
With regard to Citizens, the barometer grants them an increase in the intention to vote of four tenths to stand at 2.4%.
In the case of the Basque formations, the survey offers a turnaround since it once again places the PNV ahead of EH Bildu. In February, the Basque nationalists were predicted to have 0.8% of the ballots and the nationalists 1.1%. Now the forecast changes: the PNV would get 1.1% and Bildu would stay at 0.7%.
Another conclusion can also be drawn from the CIS barometer: bipartisanship is strengthening to the point that the two major national parties, PP and PSOE, would now concentrate more than 60% of the Spanish vote.
The Tezanos survey also indicates that 22% of those polled currently prefer Pedro Sánchez as Prime Minister and only 15% would like the presidency to be occupied by the leader of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, and this despite because on a rating scale of 1 to 10, 27% of those surveyed rate the current president very badly, while only 17% give the leader of the opposition the worst grade.
Pedro Sánchez arouses a lot or a lot of trust in 32% of citizens compared to 66% who openly distrust him. In the case of Alberto Núñez Feijóo, those who trust him are 26% compared to those who say they do not place any or little trust in him, which are 71%.
According to the criteria of The Trust Project
