Together! The president’s majority According to two polls, the presidential majority (Together!) would be first in terms of the number of legislative seats, but it is not certain that it will win an absolute majority at the National Assembly.
The electoral confederation Together! LREM, Horizons, Agir, and MoDem would be able to get 250 to 290 deputies in opposition to 195 to 230 for Nupes. This electoral alliance, which includes LFI, EELV and the PS according to the IfopFiducial barometer of LCI.
The previous Ifop poll showed that the majority won 275 to310 seats, while Nupes received 170 to205. The absolute majority is the result of 289 future elected officials, out of 577 who will be sitting on the Palais-Bourbon’s benches.
With 40 to 55 deputies from UDI, LR would be third in seat projection. The RN would have 20 to 45 seats. Reconquete! (the party of Eric Zemmour, an ex-extreme right polemicist) would score between 0 to 2 deputies and that of the various left excluding Nupes, from 4-8. The miscellaneous category includes six to twelve candidates.
A Harris Interactive-Toluna poll on “Challenges”, shows a dramatically different landscape. The president is well ahead of the rest with projections of 285-335 seats, compared to 120-184 MPs in Nupes’ projections. LFI would hold 71 to 97 seats in the left-wing coalition. The PS would have 20 to 36 seats and the EELV 20 or 35 deputies. The PCF would hold 9 to 16 seats.
According to projections of the number of seats, the LRs (38 to 58), and their centrist allies (30 to 50 seats) are at the same level as the RN. Reclaim! You could have as many as 3 deputies.
Voting intentions are not a prediction of the outcome of a vote. They provide an indication of the power balance and dynamics at the time of the survey.
The Ifop poll was conducted online from June 3 through 6. It included a self-administered questionnaire that was administered to 1,840 French voters who were registered on the electoral rolls. This sample represents the French 18-year-old population. The margin of error ranges between 1 and 2.2%. Harris’s survey was self-administered online and covered a sample of 2,355 French voters. This is representative of the French 18-year-old population. The margin of error lies between 1 and 2.3%.
