The president of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), José Félix Tezanos, has declared that “there have been people from autonomous communities who have apologized to me for some things they said before the elections”, referring to the criticism received after the publication of the regional macro-survey by the public body just before the elections were held on 28-M. One of those accusers, although it is not known if he redeemed his words, was the former Cantabrian president Miguel Ángel Revilla, who called the CIS survey “shameful”, in addition to personally describing Tezanos as a “conscious liar”.
The sociologist, who has participated this Monday in the Women in Sociology colloquium, has ignored any criticism received by the results presented in the surveys prior to the regional and municipal elections: “If they check autonomous community by autonomous community, what has been anticipated the CIS is quite adjusted to what has finally happened”. The aforementioned poll showed, as the most significant data, that Isabel Díaz Ayuso did not achieve an absolute majority, that the Extremaduran socialist Guillermo Fernández Vara could continue to govern thanks to the help of Podemos, or that the Popular Party would win in the Valencian Community, but would govern the PSOE together with Compromís.
As for the municipal vote, a flash survey by the public body published a week after the regional poll showed that the PSOE would win the municipal polls at the national level. 30.2% of votes compared to 27.9%. The reality of the election night showed a broad popular victory of 3.3 points (31.5% to 28.2%) and by just over 700,000 votes.
A note that also came to the fore at the time the data was published were the margins of error that Tezanos and his team used in the surveys, which in some cases exceeded 6%. The president of the CIS, and former member of the Federal Executive Commission of the PSOE between 2017 and 2018, has answered: “The CIS data must be understood. They are data that point to trends.”
He has also made a mention of the upcoming general elections. Of them he has said that it is a “vain effort” to predict their result in a month’s time, adding that “sociology is not a science of divination”.
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