In the midst of a $60 billion U.S. foreign aid budget, there was a seemingly minute allocation of $15 million for projects in Pacific island nations to address the impacts of climate change. While many American taxpayers may dismiss this as insignificant, the underlying purpose of such expenditures extends far beyond charity. The strategic intention is to counter China’s growing influence and position the United States as a reliable partner in the region. However, recent actions by Secretary of State Marco Rubio have cast uncertainty over thousands of U.S.-funded projects worldwide, prompting concerns about the long-term implications of the sudden freeze on foreign aid.

The Impact of the Aid Freeze

Secretary Rubio’s decision to freeze foreign aid and review the U.S. foreign aid budget in alignment with President Donald Trump’s “America first” policy has triggered panic and confusion among U.S. aid agencies and foreign recipients. The abrupt halt to USAID-funded projects has raised alarms, particularly in the public health sector, where lives are at stake due to the sudden cutoff. While Secretary Rubio has since exempted life-saving humanitarian assistance from the freeze, the overall consequences of the aid halt remain a cause for concern.

Jon Alterman, a senior vice president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, underscores the potential implications of the aid freeze on America’s global image. Alterman warns that any perception of the U.S. as an unreliable partner could bolster the positions of competitors like Russia and China on the world stage. The current scenario, according to Alterman, favors countries seeking stability and partnerships elsewhere, posing a significant risk to U.S. interests in an era of heightened big-power competition.

Charity vs. Strategic Interests

While the foreign aid review is viewed as a routine practice for incoming administrations, the decision to halt all foreign assistance pending a comprehensive evaluation represents a departure from past approaches. Despite concerns over the immediate impact of the freeze, former congressional staffers suggest that the reaction may be exaggerated compared to the actual consequences. The provision of upfront funding and support for specific programs by the Biden administration aims to mitigate the disruption caused by the aid freeze.

Experts in the aid sector emphasize the long-term benefits of reliable assistance programs in fostering goodwill and trust. Initiatives like PEPFAR, established under President George W. Bush to combat HIV/AIDS globally, exemplify how strategic goals intertwine with humanitarian efforts. Alterman contends that such programs align with core U.S. interests by promoting values and enhancing stability worldwide. The ripple effects of U.S.-funded projects extend beyond charity, ultimately contributing to the well-being of Americans and bolstering national security.

Bernard Mwololo, an AIDS activist living in a Kenyan orphanage supported by PEPFAR, underscores the life-saving impact of U.S. aid programs. Mwololo credits anti-retroviral drugs provided through PEPFAR for his survival, highlighting the interconnectedness of global health initiatives. The waiver of the stop-work order on PEPFAR funding signifies a temporary reprieve for critical programs like these, underscoring the broader implications of foreign aid decisions on individual lives.

In the realm of international aid, the review process may lead to winners and losers among recipient organizations. Programs linked to LGBTQ rights or migration issues are particularly vulnerable to being axed in the wake of the review. While concerns persist over China’s expanding influence, the U.S. foreign aid review is not the primary driver of this global power shift. Experts caution against undermining the “halo effect” associated with U.S. aid efforts, which have historically positioned the nation as a beacon of support and assistance worldwide. The potential repercussions of diminishing this positive image may inadvertently strengthen the positions of geopolitical rivals like China, a scenario that the U.S. aims to avoid.