Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, known for his closeness to Vladimir Putin, could soon have an ally within the European Union. Slovakian Robert Fico, 59, appears well placed to win the September 30 legislative elections and take the helm of the government.

Le Point: What would be the consequences of a Robert Fico victory on September 30?

Rastislav Kacer: That would be a big problem. First, he would rule the country with an iron fist. He would then come to power with a heightened sense of vengeance. During his previous mandates, there were many scandals and corruption cases which affected those close to him which are the subject of investigations. He would do everything to ensure that these did not come to an end. I know him since a long time. When I was ambassador to Washington and Budapest, I had the opportunity to meet him on multiple occasions. We didn’t always agree, but it was possible to discuss. Power changed him, he became paranoid.

How would this impact support for Ukraine?

Its policy towards Ukraine would be the opposite of the decisions taken. By cutting off military aid to kyiv, he would deal a blow to the European Union’s foreign policy and damage Slovakia’s reputation. He would act like Viktor Orban in Hungary and enter into endless negotiations with Brussels. As for Putin, he would welcome a new ally of Russia present in NATO institutions and capable of breaking their unity. In recent days, Fico has claimed that if a referendum were held on Slovakia’s continued membership in NATO, it would result in a negative vote. He is already waving the red cloth.

What is Russia’s game?

How can we explain the response that Russian propaganda receives in Slovakia?

There are historical reasons that date back to the late 19th century, the time of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, when the Germanic element was dominant in the political scene. From then on, the idea existed in intellectual circles that Russian power was the only one capable of protecting the Slavic population. This pan-Slavism continues to this day. Added to this are the consequences of the Second World War and the belief that the Red Army liberated the country. The idea is only partially true, but Russian propaganda is developing on this ground. The Kremlin understands that on the eastern steps of Europe, Slovakia is the weak link, a vulnerable nation, which has only been independent for thirty years. They invest a huge amount of resources there, more in proportion than in any other European country. Last thing: Slovaks never really fought for themselves. There is a sense of fear within society, a desire for neutrality and a desire to avoid confrontation with Russia.